There has recently taken place "a round table" on subject: "What will be with Mother Russia and with us".

  Discussion proceeded mainly on two questions: firstly, what are we seeing today -  a "bottom" of crisis or only a lull before a new impact of a storm?

  Secondly, what can be expected in Russia in the nearest future?

In accordance of the illustration by known Russian writer Kalashnikov, the nowadays rumors about "the end of crisis" - only sessions of a psychotherapy, a shamanic spells. What we see today - not notorious "bottom" of falling, but only a plateau, a "platform" with small rise, on the edge of which - a new precipice.

The inevitable new wave of crisis will soon strike whole Russia by full force. Russia too strongly depends on a raw conjuncture of the world market, and in general from the Western economy. Russia is now - as a ship that has lost a course and heavy tides are breaking it's board. Critical crisis in Russia is inevitable in connection with a new turn of world crisis.

Actually there are TWO crises developing in Russia. One is of consequences of global Vague-crisis (A.Fursova's expression), and the second is  - purely domestic, Russian crisis as of it's state system.

Global crisis has pushed crisis in Russia. In any case present crisis in Russia would have broken out in second decade of 21 century even if all remained quiet and serene in the West.

Russian crisis is a bunch of crises. It is possible to name some its major components. First of all, it is crisis of physical deterioration of a techno-sphere. Crisis of huge lack of capital investments in it. Russia -1991 has approached times of global vague-crisis unbelievably worn out. The wave of technological incidents, failures and accidents is assured.

Average age of the equipment in Russia - 21,5 years in comparison with 9,8 years in the USSR of 1990s or in comparison with ten years in the developed world. A share of investments into a fixed capital of the developed countries is- 25-30 % of GNP, in Russia - it's only 18 %. We are - fully corrupted and worned out to death country.

Russia's future is infra-structural decline, and even new rise of the world oil prices if happens, will not save Russia. The fuel and energy complex is also worn out and requires massive investments.

After decline of a techno-sphere will follow administrative and management crisis.There has been absolutely incapacitated and corrupted state built in Russia.

One kilometer of four lane motor way costs in Russia four times more, than in China. Even considering all adverse climate factors, the difference is unacceptable. A why? Misappropriation of funds. If the state is unable to function and corrupt than there would be no development, no industrial or structural policy.

Crisis of innovations and impossibility of development is connected with corruption of Russian establishment.

The innovations meets a fierce resistance of the corrupted establishment, as well as an absence of demand for them in primitive raw economy.

Thus, innovative crisis - also a "rose" from the "bunch".

Further, Russia will be in demographic and personnel problems threat. In second decade of 21st century there will be a shortage of work force in general, shortage of qualified experts and engineers, those who could deal with a techno-sphere of even 1980th years' level. The "quality" of graduates of nowadays third level education in Russia is the most disgusting in the world.

There is expected severe social and economic, and then political crisis in Russia. It shall be quite comparable to the one that has destroyed the USSR at Gorbachev, even could be much worse.

In April, 2005, the then assistant to the leader of Putin's administration Medvedev (Mendel) has come forward with a report about forthcoming fall of Russia, deceitfully intimidating people that supposedly Russia's destruction would appear much more catastrophic, rather than the fall of the USSR. Now the designated then a problem has risen at new heights.

Thus many phenomena in a life of present Russia similar to last years of the USSR.

Director of Institute of problems of globalization Mikhail Delyaghin has noted, that the logic of development of Russia guarantees uneasy prospects. In conditions of economic depression the only way not even for development, but for a simple survival is - a replacement of decreased commercial demand with the state demand.

But, when you increase the last, it is necessary to supervise the state's money. Unfortunately, in today's Russia it is impossible, because the control over the state money undermines opportunities of corruption.

In other words, undermines a well-being of ruling class and basic principles of the political system recreated at the beginning of 21st  century. Therefore, there will be no control, and money allocated by the state would go to currency market and wash away the international reserves of Russia.

This is what exactly we saw in the autumn of 2008. In the future, all would depend on oil prices and from intensity of friendship between our bureaucratic clans. At adverse development of events, all would end up already by the end of 2010. At favorable - the cycle will be done one more time.

This cycle is a primitive enough: the state gives money for support the economy, money, instead of the allocation, go to the currency market, the international reserves of Russia are being reduced. Inflation is raising, the state becomes hysterical, ruble weakens and does not earn  money any more. Those money that has been given earlier, somehow reach a real sector of the allocation - and there is that shaky "stabilization" which reminds the present one. The factor of limit here is one: the international reserves of Empire.

There will be no Russia in 10 years. It will not be limited by loss of the territory like last time, - "Russian civilization", "Russian culture" as such, thank God, will disappear, as so much hated in whole Empire. Russia is left with a maximum four years to live under the most favourable circumstances which are not to be expected. Under normal circumstances - a maximum two years.

Probably, the destiny of the post-Russia's territory would be decided, as usual by very weak, indistinctly outlined groups replacing each other, in a distemper, chaotic and long collision way.

The independent analyst and the author of the theory of evolution of social systems Igor Boshenko has arrived to an opinion of death of Russia unusual He put himself on a place of a ruling class of the country. Russian elite perfectly understands, that present crisis will end soon enough by total failure. Interests of present Russian establishment consist in maintenance of personal safety through controllable, "top" partition of Russia. To make sure "there would be no Office of Public Prosecutor ».

The analyst Alexander Nagorny has declared, that today's Russia is on the day before sudden historic turn, as it was in 1917 and 1991.